Re: Anyone know if Alvaro is OK?

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От Steve Crawford
Тема Re: Anyone know if Alvaro is OK?
Дата
Msg-id 4B8C0CC7.4010602@pinpointresearch.com
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Ответ на Re: Anyone know if Alvaro is OK?  ("Marc G. Fournier" <scrappy@hub.org>)
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Marc G. Fournier wrote:
>
> Is there a higher then normal amount of earthquakes happening 
> recently? haiti, japan just had one for 6.9, there was apparently one 
> in illinos a few weeks back, one on the Russia/China/N.Korean border 
> and now Chile? 

Random events come in bunches - something I always stop to remind myself 
of whenever there is a sudden bunch of quakes, celebrity deaths, plane 
crashes, etc. Especially with relatively unusual events like 
great-quakes and plane crashes, it can be tough to see if there is any 
signal in the noise - a job I have to leave to experienced statisticians.

The world averages one "great" (8+) earthquake/year which, of course, 
means some years like 2008 have none but 2007 had four. 7-7.9 like Haiti 
or our own Loma Prieta quake are far more common averaging ~17/year.

Haiti is a catastrophe not because the quake was of unusual size (it 
barely made it into the 7-7.9 category and released less that 1/15 the 
energy of the Chile quake) but because the hypocenter was both shallow 
and fairly close to Port-au-Prince combined with terrible construction 
standards and virtually non-existent emergency-response capabilities in 
Haiti.

Some general quake stats/facts are here:
http://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/eqarchives/year/eqstats.php

Cheers,
Steve



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